Don A. Moore

Professor | Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership and Communication | Management of Organizations

Don Moore Headshot

Don Moore is a professor and the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership and Communication at the Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley. He received his PhD in Organization Behavior from Northwestern University. His research interests include overconfidence—including when people think they are better than they actually are, when people think they are better than others, and when they are too sure they know the truth. He is only occasionally overconfident.

Expertise and Research Interests

  • Ethical Choice
  • Decision-Making
  • Overconfidence
  • Negotiation

Papers, Articles and Publications

Overconfidence in Probability Distributions: People Know They Don’t Know but...

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OPTS: Overprecision is a Property of Thinking Systems

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Leadership and Overconfidence

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Decision Leadership- Empowering Others to Make Better Choices

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Perfectly Confident- How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely

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Awards & Honors
  • Barbara and Gerson Bakar Faculty Fellow, 2011- 2014
  • Best paper award, Managerial and Organizational Cognition Division of the Academy of Management, August 2011.
  • IARPA.  Research grant for: Exploring the Optimal Forecasting Frontier with B. Mellers and P. Tetlock, 2011-2015.
  • Cummings Scholar Award from the Academy of Management, recognizing “significant scholarly achievement during the early- to mid-career stage,” 2007.
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Academic Background
  • PhD, Organization Behavior, Northwestern University
  • MS, Organization Behavior, Northwestern University
  • BA, Magna Cum Laude, Psychology, Carleton College